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新型冠状病毒导致曼哈顿房地产交易暴跌84%

  • 责任编辑:siyu.zhang
  • 来源:互联网
  • 时间:2020-06-04 15:48:09

  新型冠状病毒导致美国经济停滞,尤其是曼哈顿房地产业, 一起俺看曼哈顿房地产经济对现状的看法吧。

  曼哈顿房地产交易5月暴跌84%,因新型冠状病毒、抗议活动

  发布时间:2011年6月3日星期三美国东部时间上午18:00更新时间:20202年6月3日星期三下午25:25

  罗伯特·弗兰克

  要点

  据UrbanDigs统计,5月份曼哈顿公寓共签署160份合同,而2019年5月为992份。

  新上市房源数量也大幅下降,下降了71%,至574套,因为卖家决定在开市前不让自己的房产上市。

  曼哈顿房地产市场的痛苦将在高层最为明显——在高层,昂贵的新公寓楼和阁楼的供过于求已经在打压房价。

  与去年相比,5月份曼哈顿公寓签订的房地产合同数量下降了84%,原因是为防止Covid-19的蔓延而关闭,以及乔治·弗洛伊德(George Floyd)去世后的抗议活动实际上使市场陷入瘫痪。

  UrbanDigs的数据显示,5月共签署160份合同,而2019年5月为992份。新上市房源数量也大幅下降,下降了71%,至574套,因为卖家决定在开市前不让自己的房产上市。

  曼哈顿房地产市场的痛苦将在高层最为明显——在高层,昂贵的新公寓楼和阁楼的供过于求已经在打压房价。奥尔山报告显示,对于价格超过400万美元的公寓,5月份仅签了16个合同,总金额为1亿美元,比去年5月份的111个合同总额11亿美元下降了近90%。

  今年5月最昂贵的一笔交易是,一份出售帕克大道一家合作社的合同,挂牌价为695万美元,被一位业主卖掉,他决定和家人搬到纽约的斯卡斯代尔。根据奥尔山的报告,在冠状病毒大流行之后。

  虽然有关纽约市居民迁往郊区的数据基本上仍是传闻,但有一些城市迁往周边郊区的早期迹象。UrbanDigs对“相对需求”进行了分析,它将“相对需求”定义为新的销售合同除以新的上市公司。

  分析发现,虽然曼哈顿的需求急剧下降,但纽约的韦斯特切斯特县、康涅狄格州的格林威治县以及新泽西州的卑尔根县和蒙茅斯县的需求却有所增加。

  根据UrbanDigs的报告,“近期内,对曼哈顿的需求持续疲软可能会造成供过于求的局面,这意味着未来的房价将下降,而郊区需求的增加可能会造成供应紧缩,推高房价。”。“与此同时,曼哈顿放松对家庭的限制是否会释放被压抑的需求,还有待观察,但随着搬到郊区的行动已经到位,并进一步受到COVID-19流行病的影响,曼哈顿需求的任何回升似乎都不太可能扭转这一趋势。”

  曼哈顿房地产经纪人表示,一旦该市重新开放,释放出卖家和渴望交易的买家被压抑的需求,他们仍然对交易持乐观态度。自今年3月以来,经纪公司一直无法为购房者展示公寓或举办开盘房。虽然还没有确定纽约第二期房地产重新开盘的日期,但他们预计6月22日左右会重新开盘。

  在有更多的交易之前,经纪人说他们不知道曼哈顿的房价会降到哪里,也不知道随着时间的推移会跌多少。

  道格拉斯·埃利曼的经纪人劳伦·穆斯(Lauren Muss)说:“我有很多人在等待出售,也有很多人在等待购买。”。“问题是我们什么时候能再做生意。”

  附上原文,以供参考,拒绝转载,侵权必删:

  Manhattan real estate deals plunge 84% in May amid coronavirus, protests

  PUBLISHED WED, JUN 3 202011:18 AM EDTUPDATED WED, JUN 3 20202:25 PM EDT

  Robert Frank

  KEY POINTS

  There were a total of 160 contracts signed in May for Manhattan apartments, compared with 992 in May of 2019, according to UrbanDigs.

  The number of new listings has also plummeted, down 71% to 574, as sellers decide to keep their properties off the market until the city starts to reopen.

  The pain in Manhattan real estate will be felt most at the top — where an oversupply of pricey new condo towers and penthouses were already weighing on prices.

  The number of real estate contracts signed for Manhattan apartments plunged 84% in May compared with last year, as shutdowns to prevent the spread of Covid-19 and protests following the death of George Floyd effectively paralyzed the market.

  There were a total of 160 contracts signed in May, compared with 992 in May of 2019, according to UrbanDigs. The number of new listings has also plummeted, down 71% to 574, as sellers decide to keep their properties off the market until the city starts to reopen.

  The pain in Manhattan real estate will be felt most at the top — where an oversupply of pricey new condo towers and penthouses were already weighing on prices. For apartments priced over $4 million, there were only 16 contracts signed in May for a total of $100 million — a nearly 90% decline from last May when 111 contracts were signed totaling $1.1 billion, according to the Olshan Report.

  One of the most expensive deals in May, a contract for the sale of a co-op on Park Avenue that had been listed for $6.95 million, was sold by an owner who decided to move with his family to Scarsdale, New York. in the wake of the coroanvirus pandemic, according to the Olshan Report.

  While data on New York City residents moving to the suburbs is still largely anecdotal, there are some early signs of urban flight to surrounding suburbs. UrbanDigs did an analysis looking at “relative demand,” which it defines as new sales contracts divided by new listings.

  The analysis found that while demand was down sharply in Manhattan, it increased in Westchester County in New York, Greenwich, Connecticut, and in Bergen and Monmouth counties in New Jersey.

  “In the near term, continued slack demand for Manhattan could create an oversupply situation, implying lower prices ahead, and increased suburban demand could create a supply crunch, pushing up prices,” according to the UrbanDigs report. “In the meantime, it remains to be seen if the easing of stay-at-home restrictions in Manhattan will unlock pent-up demand, but with the move to the suburbs already in place and further entrenched by the COVID-19 pandemic, any pickup in Manhattan demand seems unlikely to reverse the trend.”

  Manhattan real estate brokers say they remain optimistic about deals once the city reopens and unleashes pent-up demand among sellers and deal-hungry buyers. Brokers have been unable to show apartments or hold open houses for buyers since March. While no date has been set for real estate to reopen as part of New York’s Phase 2, they are expecting a restart around June 22.

  Until there are more deals, brokers say they won’t know where prices in Manhattan will land or how much they will fall over time.

  “I have a lot of people waiting to sell and a lot of people waiting to buy,” said Lauren Muss, a broker at Douglas Elliman. “It’s a question of when we can do business again.”

  Source of articles:https://www.cnbc.com/

  Author:Robert Frank

  受到新型冠状病毒的冲击,曼哈顿房地产也许十分引人关注,希望有朝一日曼哈顿房地产经济能够恢复正常。


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